Showing posts with label Supreme. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Supreme. Show all posts

Sunday, 21 July 2013

New Jersey Supreme Court rules warrants needed for phone tracking


Cellphone users have a reasonable expectation of privacy of their cellphone location information, and police must obtain a search warrant before accessing that information, the Supreme Court of New Jersey ruled Thursday.

"When people make disclosures to phone companies and other providers to use their services, they are not promoting the release of personal information to others," wrote Chief Justice Stuart Rabner in an unanimous ruling on an appeal. "Instead, they can reasonably expect that their personal information will remain private."
The issue of boundaries in the use of cellphone data by law enforcement agencies has figured in other courts and state legislatures. The Montana legislature passed a law recently requiring police and other agencies to obtain a search warrant from a court before tracking a person using location information from an electronic device.

Federal courts have been divided on the issue of cellphone tracking by law enforcement. But historically the New Jersey Constitution has offered greater protection to New Jersey residents than the Fourth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, Rabner observed. The Fourth Amendment protects against unreasonable searches and seizures.
"Under settled New Jersey law, individuals do not lose their right to privacy simply because they have to give information to a third-party provider, like a phone company or bank, to get service," the judge wrote. Evaluating the legal implications of cellphone technology, the judge wrote that "as a general rule, the more sophisticated and precise the tracking, the greater the privacy concern."
Police tracked the defendant Thomas Earls, wanted for burglary and receiving stolen property, to a motel using location information provided by T-Mobile without warrant, three times in one evening, on a cellphone the police believed the defendant had been using.
The trial court found that Earls had a reasonable expectation of privacy under state law and the police should have obtained a warrant to track him through cell-tower information. The court, however, admitted the evidence under an emergency aid exception to the warrant requirement.

The New Jersey decision is the first to establish a constitutional right in location data since the U.S. Supreme Court decided in United States v. Jones, a GPS tracking case in which several Justices expressed concern about the collection of location data, Electronic Privacy Information Center said in a statement.
EPIC, American Civil Liberties Union of New Jersey and Association of Criminal Defense Lawyers were allowed as amici curiae to advise the court in the case.

Anticipating "extensive disruption in the administration of justice," the court decided that its ruling will apply only to the Earls case and to future cases. The warrant requirement is to take effect in thirty days from Thursday's ruling to provide adequate time to the attorney general of the state to circulate guidance to state and local law enforcement officials, the court ruled.

During a six-month period last year, in 85 percent of 600 cases for which cellphone information was sought, warrants were obtained, according to information provided by the state to the court. Local or municipal police departments are said to have handled about sixty cases in which no warrants were sought. The court, however, raised the possibility that the data may have overstated the number of cases the state specifically sought warrants.

The Earls case has been referred to the appellate court to  determine whether the emergency aid doctrine applies. The court observed that the emergency aid doctrine allows police to enter a dwelling without a warrant "for the purpose of protecting or preserving life, or preventing serious injury."

Friday, 19 July 2013

New Jersey Supreme Court rules warrants needed for phone tracking

Cellphone users have a reasonable expectation of privacy of their cellphone location information, and police must obtain a search warrant before accessing that information, the Supreme Court of New Jersey ruled Thursday.

"When people make disclosures to phone companies and other providers to use their services, they are not promoting the release of personal information to others," wrote Chief Justice Stuart Rabner in an unanimous ruling on an appeal. "Instead, they can reasonably expect that their personal information will remain private."
The issue of boundaries in the use of cellphone data by law enforcement agencies has figured in other courts and state legislatures. The Montana legislature passed a law recently requiring police and other agencies to obtain a search warrant from a court before tracking a person using location information from an electronic device.

Federal courts have been divided on the issue of cellphone tracking by law enforcement. But historically the New Jersey Constitution has offered greater protection to New Jersey residents than the Fourth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, Rabner observed. The Fourth Amendment protects against unreasonable searches and seizures.

"Under settled New Jersey law, individuals do not lose their right to privacy simply because they have to give information to a third-party provider, like a phone company or bank, to get service," the judge wrote. Evaluating the legal implications of cellphone technology, the judge wrote that "as a general rule, the more sophisticated and precise the tracking, the greater the privacy concern."

Police tracked the defendant Thomas Earls, wanted for burglary and receiving stolen property, to a motel using location information provided by T-Mobile without warrant, three times in one evening, on a cellphone the police believed the defendant had been using.

The trial court found that Earls had a reasonable expectation of privacy under state law and the police should have obtained a warrant to track him through cell-tower information. The court, however, admitted the evidence under an emergency aid exception to the warrant requirement.

The New Jersey decision is the first to establish a constitutional right in location data since the U.S. Supreme Court decided in United States v. Jones, a GPS tracking case in which several Justices expressed concern about the collection of location data, Electronic Privacy Information Center said in a statement.
EPIC, American Civil Liberties Union of New Jersey and Association of Criminal Defense Lawyers were allowed as amici curiae to advise the court in the case.

Anticipating "extensive disruption in the administration of justice," the court decided that its ruling will apply only to the Earls case and to future cases. The warrant requirement is to take effect in thirty days from Thursday's ruling to provide adequate time to the attorney general of the state to circulate guidance to state and local law enforcement officials, the court ruled.

During a six-month period last year, in 85 percent of 600 cases for which cellphone information was sought, warrants were obtained, according to information provided by the state to the court. Local or municipal police departments are said to have handled about sixty cases in which no warrants were sought. The court, however, raised the possibility that the data may have overstated the number of cases the state specifically sought warrants.

The Earls case has been referred to the appellate court to  determine whether the emergency aid doctrine applies. The court observed that the emergency aid doctrine allows police to enter a dwelling without a warrant "for the purpose of protecting or preserving life, or preventing serious injury."

Friday, 28 June 2013

Supreme Court's Gay Marriage Decisions: Hollywood Reacts

The Supreme Court today declared that a key section of the Defense of Marriage Act, which restricts federal benefits for gay couples, is unconstitutional. Entertainment industry insiders, including openly gay celebrities, spoke out to The Hollywood Reporter about today's big decision.

The following are some of their reactions:

Glee, American Horror Story and The New Normal creator Ryan Murphy:

"Today is a historic day made all the more meaningful by the fact that my marriage to my husband, David, will now not only be recognized by my home state of California, but federally as well, as it always should have been. Many have suggested that Hollywood, and particularly television, has helped move the country forward on the issue of marriage equality. If that is true, and my work played even a small part in that, I am humbled and reminded of the power of entertainment to enlighten as well as entertain."

Singer and Broadway composer   Cyndi Lauper:

"History has been made today and justice has prevailed. To all of you who have been waiting on the sidelines for years, for lifetimes, it's a huge day. I am so, so happy for you.

"The U.S. Supreme Court ruled in favor of loving and committed gay couples, and the so-called Defense of Marriage Act has been ruled unconstitutional. Not only that, but California's Proposition 8 was struck down, restoring marriage equality to the state of California.

"Both of these decisions not only impact the lives of gay couples, but of gay and transgender youth who struggle to find acceptance from their family and friends. Every step closer we get to equality ensures that these kids have the futures that they deserve and are entitled to.

"Thank you so much to the inspiring plaintiffs, attorneys and everyone across the country who have worked so hard for so many years. Today, we celebrate. Tomorrow, we keep working for full equality for all and to bring the freedom to marry for gay couples to the 37 states that still remain."

Rocker Melissa Etheridge:

"'Laws and institutions must go hand in hand with the general progress of the human mind.' -- Thomas Jefferson

"Let's hear it for the general progress of the human mind. With a beautiful sweep of sweet justice's blind hand we move forward. We correct the laws made hastily out of fear.

"I look forward to exercising my American civil liberties and getting fully, completely and legally married this year to my true love of over three years, Linda Wallem.

"Once again our constitution stands strong. All men, and women, and everything in between are created equal."

Oscar-winning Milk screenwriter Dustin Lance Black:

"We stand on the shoulders of so many who gave their hearts, their stories, their names and their lives to see this day realized. I'll be celebrating them tonight … but tomorrow it's back to work to ensure our promise of full federal equality applies to all Americans regardless of what state they live in."

Hollywood power lawyer Steve Warren:

"Today was so rewarding from so many standpoints," says Warren, who says he couldn't sleep last night and was up at 5 a.m. awaiting the decision. "Even though it didn't go the full way, it wound up going so far. It's such an embracing decision, that gay people are equal people. It's just a great day. I've been getting calls all morning from people in the industry. My speech has had more impact than I would have ever expected. When I saw the decision, I got chills and had tears coming down from my face. It was like, 'Holy cow, things have changed.' I know the four plaintiffs. I'm texting them this morning. These are the Rosa Parks. These are the people who go down in history."

My So-Called Life star Wilson Cruz: 

"At long last, the legal marriages of countless gay and lesbian couples will be afforded the same federal recognition and protections as any other. Today is a cornerstone for justice and equality -- when our nation once again moved closer to recognizing and celebrating all LGBT Americans for their contributions to our great country.

"The Court also denied standing in Hollingsworth v. Perry, which challenged the constitutionality of California's anti-gay Proposition 8, or Prop. 8, a statewide ban on marriage equality. The decision will restore marriage equality in California.

"A majority of Americans, and now the highest court in the land, agree that it's wrong to strip loving and committed gay and lesbian couples of the fundamental opportunity to marry the person you love. Today, we stand in solidarity with millions of Californians, who can finally say 'I do' to the person they love."

Pop icon   Madonna:

"What a way to start my day!! I'm wearing a smile from ear to ear. There is a G-D! Justice is served. Hallelujah !!"

Scandal star Guillermo Diaz

"Finally! Everything is as it should be. Today has been an enormous victory for marriage equality. When you have to fight for something it makes you cherish it all that much more."

Bravo exec and Watch What Happens Live host Andy Cohen:

"I'm just thrilled. I never thought that I would see this day, really, and it's just a huge victory. I'm a little speechless because it came from the highest court, and it's huge."

Precious director Lee Daniels:

"It's a sad day for the gay men who are trying to save their money. But in all seriousness, this day is as important as the day African-Americans were given the right to vote. I'm proud to be an American."

Rock of Ages director Adam Shankman:

"I never thought in my lifetime I would see anything like this happen. I had settled into subconsciously believing that I would always be viewed as separate and unequal. I have never felt so grateful, and so happy. I look forward to the rest of my married life with my fiancé, and soon to be husband, Frank Meli."

Chef Cat Cora:

"My wife and I are overjoyed with emotion and tears of gratitude that this day has finally arrived. Not only will we and our children be treated as equals in this great country, but all gays and lesbians will be rightfully treated with equality as Americans. Our highest court has determined that we are all constitutionally equal, but more importantly, that we are all part of humanity and should be treated with love, respect, and compassion."

Outfest Executive Director Kirsten Schaffer:

"Last summer, I met [DOMA plaintiff] Edie [Windsor] in person at NewFest [the New York City LGBT film festival] when she was honored with the NewFest Achievement Award. But, I first "met" Edie in the award-winning documentary Edie and Thea: A Very Long Engagement (the Outfest 2009 Audience Award winner directed by Greta Olafsdottie and Sunsan Muska), a film that chronicles the wedding of Edie and Thea after 42 years of a magnificent love. I was struck by two things in Edie's acceptance speech at NewFest. First, she talked about the courage that the documentary gave her to take her case to the Supreme Court and second, that the documentary was used as evidence in her case to support her life-long love and commitment to Thea. Overturning DOMA is a testament not only to the courage of one woman, but also to the power to change people, change culture and change the law through story and moving image.

MSNBC Live host Thomas Roberts:

"I feel my marriage has the equal respect it always deserved and I feel validated by my country. Most of all, I am extremely proud.

"It was epic! It was a moment in American history I was literally born to cover. My mom called me right after the show to say how proud she was and I was 'perfect.' I spoke to my husband a short time later and he said it best: 'Great show!' When you organically have President Obama end up in your hour with reaction to a SCOTUS ruling in favor of LGBT equality -- it is a great show!"

Follow me on Twitter @sajilpl

Wednesday, 26 June 2013

Supreme Court Expected To Issue Historic Rulings On Gay Marriage

Gay rights activist Vin Testa of DC waves a flag outside the U.S. Supreme Court building on Tuesday in Washington, DC.
Gay rights activist Vin Testa of DC waves a flag outside the U.S. Supreme Court building on Tuesday in Washington, DC.

We're expecting history this morning. To cap off what's already been an extraordinary and dramatic 2012 term that brought rulings on affirmative action and voting rights, the Supreme Court is expected to hand down two rulings today that could shape the future of same-sex marriage in the country.

NPR's Nina Totenberg wrapped up the two cases like this for our Newscast unit:


"One case tests the federal defense of marriage act, known as DOMA. The law bars federal benefits to same sex couples who are married in states where such unions are legal. Those challenging the law contend that it unconstitutionally denies them the equal protection of the law and that it also violates the Constitution by refusing to recognize state endorsed legal marriages. The second case, from California, is an outright challenge to state laws that bar same sex marriage. Same sex couples are challenging California's ban as a denial of their constiutional right to equal treatment."

The cases are United States v. Windsor
and Hollingsworth v. Perry. The court is expected to begin handing down decisions at 10 a.m. ET. Below, we've embedded live coverage from our friends at SCOTUSblog. They'll start sending dispatches at around 9 a.m. ET.
 

Supreme Court Will Rule on Same-Sex Marriage on Wednesday

U.S. Supreme Court Building Same-Sex Marriage - H 2013Same-sex marriage supporters outside the Supreme Court

U.S. Supreme Court Justice John Roberts has announced that the remaining opinions of the current term will be released on Wednesday at 10 a.m. EST. As a result, two eagerly awaited rulings on same-sex marriage will be delivered tomorrow.

In a week that has seen the high court direct lower courts to exercise more scrutiny toward affirmative action programs, strike down an important provision of the Voting Rights Act and toughen the standards by which labor lawsuits are brought, the justices' opinions on the constitutionality of restrictions on gay marriage have been left until the final day.

In March, the Supreme Court heard arguments in two same-sex-marriage cases. Hollingsworth v. Perry challenges the constitutionality of California's Proposition 8, a 2008 ballot measure that enacted changes to the state's constitution to say that "only marriage between a man and a woman is valid or recognized in California." United States v. Windsor considers the constitutionality of Section 3 of the Defense of Marriage Act, which restricts federal marriage benefits to same-sex couples.

STORY: Supreme Court Bans Patenting of Breast Cancer Gene Publicized by Angelina Jolie

Based on who has and hasn't delivered opinions thus far this term, it's speculated by some legal commentators that Justice Roberts and Justice Anthony Kennedy are most likely to be writing the majority opinions in the marriage cases.

The suspense and buildup to the final day will make for another early morning in California, where citizens await the fate of Prop 8.

It will also give the cable news networks a chance to lead into Supreme Court coverage. Today, MSNBC was the first to break in with news of the rulings.

The blow to the section of the Voting Rights Act that dealt with subjecting jurisdictions to preclearance, thus making it tougher to enforce the 1960s civil rights law, is a leading story for most of the major news outlets today.

STORY: Supreme Court's Defense of Marriage Act Hearing: What Hollywood Is Saying

President Obama released a statement saying he was "deeply disappointed" with the Court's decision in the Voting Rights Act case.

"For nearly 50 years, the Voting Rights Act – enacted and repeatedly renewed by wide bipartisan majorities in Congress – has helped secure the right to vote for millions of Americans.  Today’s decision invalidating one of its core provisions upsets decades of well-established practices that help make sure voting is fair, especially in places where voting discrimination has been historically prevalent," he said.

"As a nation, we’ve made a great deal of progress towards guaranteeing every American the right to vote. But, as the Supreme Court recognized, voting discrimination still exists. And while today’s decision is a setback, it doesn’t represent the end of our efforts to end voting discrimination. I am calling on Congress to pass legislation to ensure every American has equal access to the polls. My Administration will continue to do everything in its power to ensure a fair and equal voting process."

 

Supreme Court Will Rule on Same-Sex Marriage on Wednesday

U.S. Supreme Court Building Same-Sex Marriage - H 2013Same-sex marriage supporters outside the Supreme Court

U.S. Supreme Court Justice John Roberts has announced that the remaining opinions of the current term will be released on Wednesday at 10 a.m. EST. As a result, two eagerly awaited rulings on same-sex marriage will be delivered tomorrow.

In a week that has seen the high court direct lower courts to exercise more scrutiny toward affirmative action programs, strike down an important provision of the Voting Rights Act and toughen the standards by which labor lawsuits are brought, the justices' opinions on the constitutionality of restrictions on gay marriage have been left until the final day.

In March, the Supreme Court heard arguments in two same-sex-marriage cases. Hollingsworth v. Perry challenges the constitutionality of California's Proposition 8, a 2008 ballot measure that enacted changes to the state's constitution to say that "only marriage between a man and a woman is valid or recognized in California." United States v. Windsor considers the constitutionality of Section 3 of the Defense of Marriage Act, which restricts federal marriage benefits to same-sex couples.

STORY: Supreme Court Bans Patenting of Breast Cancer Gene Publicized by Angelina Jolie

Based on who has and hasn't delivered opinions thus far this term, it's speculated by some legal commentators that Justice Roberts and Justice Anthony Kennedy are most likely to be writing the majority opinions in the marriage cases.

The suspense and buildup to the final day will make for another early morning in California, where citizens await the fate of Prop 8.

It will also give the cable news networks a chance to lead into Supreme Court coverage. Today, MSNBC was the first to break in with news of the rulings.

The blow to the section of the Voting Rights Act that dealt with subjecting jurisdictions to preclearance, thus making it tougher to enforce the 1960s civil rights law, is a leading story for most of the major news outlets today.

STORY: Supreme Court's Defense of Marriage Act Hearing: What Hollywood Is Saying

President Obama released a statement saying he was "deeply disappointed" with the Court's decision in the Voting Rights Act case.

"For nearly 50 years, the Voting Rights Act – enacted and repeatedly renewed by wide bipartisan majorities in Congress – has helped secure the right to vote for millions of Americans.  Today’s decision invalidating one of its core provisions upsets decades of well-established practices that help make sure voting is fair, especially in places where voting discrimination has been historically prevalent," he said.

"As a nation, we’ve made a great deal of progress towards guaranteeing every American the right to vote. But, as the Supreme Court recognized, voting discrimination still exists. And while today’s decision is a setback, it doesn’t represent the end of our efforts to end voting discrimination. I am calling on Congress to pass legislation to ensure every American has equal access to the polls. My Administration will continue to do everything in its power to ensure a fair and equal voting process."

 

Tuesday, 25 June 2013

Zachary Quinto Hopes Supreme Court's Same-Sex Marriage Rulings are 'a Galvanizing Moment'

Ahead of the Supreme Court's planned rulings on two same-sex marriage cases, Star Trek's Zachary Quinto is cautiously optimistic.


"We'll see what happens," Quinto tells The Hollywood Reporter. "I'm certainly not going to hazard against it to say what happens, but I hope it's a galvanizing moment, and I'm hopeful that [same-sex marriage] will be supported and we'll continue to move forward."


Quinto added that he believes a change is coming, regardless of Wednesday's Supreme Court decisions.


"I think no matter what happens, it's an unstoppable wave at this point, and I've said that before because I really believe it," he said.


"[Acceptance] might take longer, and it might not happen tomorrow, but it will happen. Whether that means individually, state by state, or by a sweeping decision, that remains to be seen, but I'll still do everything I can to fight for and support it and advocate it, and that's all I can do."


Quinto came out as a gay man ahead of the release of his financial drama Margin Call.


STORY: Supreme Court Will Rule on Same-Sex Marriage on Wednesday


He revealed his sexual orientation after completing an eight-month run in Angels in America and after already speaking out on gay-rights issues.


"As a gay man, [that role] made me feel like there’s still so much work to be done, and there’s still so many things that need to be looked at and addressed," Quinto said in New York magazine.


STORY: Supreme Court's Defense of Marriage Act Hearing: What Hollywood Is Saying


He later said that violence against gay teenagers compelled him to be honest about his own sexual orientation.


"It became clear to me in an instant that living a gay life without publicly acknowledging it is simply not enough to make any significant contribution to the immense work that lies ahead on the road to complete equality," Quinto wrote in a blog post on his website. "Our society needs to recognize the unstoppable momentum toward unequivocal civil equality for every gay lesbian bisexual and transgendered citizen of this country. Gay kids need to stop killing themselves because they are made to feel worthless by cruel and relentless bullying. … We are witnessing an enormous shift of collective consciousness throughout the world. We are at the precipice of great transformation within our culture and government. I believe in the power of intention to change the landscape of our society, and it is my intention to live an authentic life of compassion and integrity and action."


 

As Social Media Swirl Around It, Supreme Court Sticks to Its Analog Ways

They will be joined, if Twitter is any guide, by thousands of anxious, curious people across the country eagerly waiting for the court to rule on a remarkable number of major cases with huge implications. With just days remaining in its 2013 schedule, the court has left dangling its considered opinions on same-sex marriage, affirmative action and the nation’s voting rights laws.

 

“We all crave information instantaneously,” said Ms. Blatt, a lawyer at Arnold & Porter who has argued 33 cases before the court, including one that is still pending this year. Last Monday, and again last Thursday, she found herself scouring legal blogs, looking for whatever clues might exist.

 

“I always thought those people were strange, and there I was, doing it,” she said. “People are dying to know something that they can’t.”

 

In a city beset by leaks — a young programmer recently gave a hoard of top-secret documents to newspapers — the high court’s annual rulings remain stubbornly opaque until they are handed out (on paper, first) by the court’s public relations staff. Meanwhile, the nine justices have the luxury of appearing publicly oblivious to the swirl of social media, the angst of Washington’s legal community and the voracious appetite of America’s 24-hour news cycle.

 

Many Washington institutions are making the high-tech transition; even the chairman of the Federal Reserve holds regular news conferences now. But like the Kremlinologists of the cold war, who deduced Communist power struggles by a leader’s presence on the Red Square reviewing stand, modern-day court watchers can do little more than speculate about when and how the court might rule.

 

“You never know when it’s going to come down,” said Mr. Olson, a former solicitor general who would know, if anyone would. A court observer for decades, he has shown up on each of the last three decision days at the court. “I just try to prepare for anything.”

 

Mr. Griffin is a founder of the American Foundation for Equal Rights, the organization that filed the legal challenge to Proposition 8, which banned same-sex marriage in California. Four times in the last two weeks, the court has issued decisions in other cases but not about that law’s constitutionality. Each time, Mr. Griffin has returned home and unpacked, lest his suits become wrinkled.

 

On Monday, Mr. Griffin will return once again, joined by the four plaintiffs in the case, who plan to stay in Washington until the high court rules, before they return home to California. If the court overturns the ballot initiative, the couples hope to have a wedding ceremony as soon as possible.

 

Across California, gay rights organizations have started many early mornings refreshing their Web pages for news and then going back to bed. Staff members at the Los Angeles Gay and Lesbian Center have elaborate plans for action after any outcome, and they are preparing to head into the office in the early morning as they anticipate widespread celebration or protest in West Hollywood.

 

And lawyers at the office of California’s attorney general, Kamala D. Harris, have been preparing for weeks with legal memos anticipating a wide range of possible outcomes.

 

The Web is ready, too. On Thursday, after the justices once again did not issue rulings in any of the biggest cases, news organizations blared the “news” to their followers. “BREAKING NEWS: No major decisions from Supreme Court today,” the Yahoo News site announced on its Twitter feed. Another Twitter user wryly observed: “Clearly all Supreme Court judges were unpopular kids in high school and, excited by all the attention now, are gonna drag this out.”

 

A year ago, in the minutes before the court announced its decision on President Obama’s health care law, Twitter users posted more than 13,000 messages a minute about the court. (By comparison, there were 160,000 a minute at the height of the presidential debate in Denver last year.)

 

The court’s term is dwindling fast. The schedule calls for a round of rulings on Monday, and court observers believe the justices may issue decisions on Wednesday and Thursday as well. There has been speculation of a July 1 session, though Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. is scheduled to teach a class on the history of the Supreme Court in Prague on July 2.

 

There will be other issues in Washington this week. The Senate is set to take a final vote on an immigration overhaul, perhaps on Thursday. (If the court overturns the federal Defense of Marriage Act first, lawmakers may not need to seek immigration protections for same-sex partners of immigrants, advocates said.)

 

But most of the intellectual guesswork will be about the justices and their rulings.

 

There are ways, if you know them, to offer educated guesses about the timing and authorship (if not the substance) of the court’s coming decisions. The tricks have become de rigueur among the Washington social set, whose members swap Supreme Court theories at cocktail parties the way Angelenos swap movie industry gossip.

 

“Everybody around this time starts to try to predict who has the decision and what it’s going to say,” said Irving L. Gornstein, the executive director of the Supreme Court Institute at Georgetown University. Mr. Gornstein calls himself a “participant” in the court-guessing parlor games. This year, he said, is the worst he can remember.

 

“Here you have four huge cases, which is really extraordinary for a Supreme Court term,” Mr. Gornstein said. “I can’t remember when you’ve had this many cases at the end of a term.”

 

Among the tricks of the court-watching trade is knowing that each of the justices is assigned to write the majority opinion in at least one case during each two-week “sitting,” when cases are heard for oral arguments. On Monday, if there are rulings yet to be announced from a particular sitting, and a justice who has not yet written an opinion from that set of cases, that justice might be a good bet.

 

Knowledgeable observers also keep close watch on the number of boxes of rulings set out by the public information officers at the court. The more boxes, the more rulings.

 

“It is a game that everybody’s playing because it’s so important,” Mr. Olson said. “These decisions are really important to the people involved, and they have consequences for a long time.”

 

 

Adam Liptak contributed reporting from Washington, and Jennifer Medina from Los Angeles.